Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: risingLiquidity: ALarge Trader Flow: ActiveMature market (273d)
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$73K
Liquidity$1.1M
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in31mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
944 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets28
AI Brief
Glenn Youngkin, Virginia's Republican governor, is assigned just 1% odds of winning the 2028 GOP presidential nomination and general election. Market consensus reflects that Youngkin lacks the national polling momentum and primary support of established frontrunners, particularly given Trump's dominance within the Republican Party. The 2028 GOP primaries beginning in late 2027 will be the decisive catalyst.