Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (98% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$4900.00 (+4900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability2.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +0.4%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: ALarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price moved +0.4pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$64K
Liquidity$481K
Current Probability2%
Resolves in31mo
Low VolatilityVol: 5.1% → 3.0%
944 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets28
AI Brief
Donald Trump at 2% odds for 2028 is substantially undervalued relative to his 2024 incumbent status, implying markets price either term-limit constitutional constraints (debated) or decisive 2028 primary defeat to a successor. The deep liquidity ($512K) and 0.4% decline suggest institutional consensus on Trump's 2028 improbability.