Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: coolingLiquidity: ALarge Trader Flow: ActiveMature market (273d)
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$37K
Liquidity$1.1M
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in31mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
944 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets28
AI Brief
Donald Trump Jr.'s 1% probability reflects his complete lack of political experience and electoral infrastructure, with traders viewing him as an ornamental figure in Trump world rather than a serious 2028 contender. His candidacy would rely entirely on Trump dynasty leverage, which has never translated to independent electoral viability.