Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (98% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$4900.00 (+4900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability2.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +0.3%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price moved +0.3pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved up to 1.8% from 1.6% baseline — 14% shift
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$128K
Liquidity$302K
Current Probability2%
Resolves in31mo
Low VolatilityVol: 5.7% → 3.2%
944 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets27
AI Brief
Ron DeSantis faces 98% odds against winning the 2028 US presidency, implying markets have shifted decisively post-2024 primary, despite deep liquidity ($402K) reflecting sustained hedging activity. The resolution window (2.5+ years) and ongoing political evolution mean this ultra-low probability carries meaningful tail-risk premium for contrarian bets.
Anomalies
WarningPricez=3.3