Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 78% NO. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$354.55 (+355%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability22.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +0.1%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: ALarge Trader Flow: ActiveMature market (271d)
- Price moved +0.1pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$294K
Liquidity$329K
Current Probability22%
Resolves in31mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.2% → 1.0%
944 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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AI Brief
Marco Rubio for the 2028 Republican nomination sits at 22%, positioning him as an outside possibility in a crowded field over two years away. The slight overnight decline suggests marginal weakness, but the position remains material enough for traders betting on Trump alternatives or primary fragmentation.