Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: coolingLiquidity: ALarge Trader Flow: ActiveMature market (271d)
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$51K
Liquidity$1.2M
Current Probability1%
Resolves in31mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
944 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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AI Brief
Vivek Ramaswamy winning the 2028 Republican presidential nomination is priced at essentially 1% despite $1.27M in liquidity, indicating strong consensus against his viability. The long time horizon to November 2028 leaves room for political surprises, but current establishment backing and polling strongly favor other candidates. The massive liquidity suggests this is a popular hedging or conviction market for Republican primary watchers.