Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: steadyLiquidity: ALarge Trader Flow: ActiveMature market (271d)
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: steady
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$34K
Liquidity$1.0M
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in31mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.8% → 1.2%
944 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets33
AI Brief
Greg Abbott at 1% for the 2028 Republican nomination reflects a deep GOP field where the Texas Governor lacks frontrunner status despite his statewide prominence. The ultra-low probability suggests other candidates have consolidated delegate and donor support ahead of him.