Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (95% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1900.00 (+1900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability5.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +0.4%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price moved +0.4pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$70K
Liquidity$287K
Current Probability5%
Resolves in31mo
Low VolatilityVol: 3.7% → 2.4%
944 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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AI Brief
Tucker Carlson at 5% YES for 2028 GOP nomination shows marginal but real market interest in a media figure pivoting to Republican politics, though down 0.5% in 24 hours, suggesting fading conviction among traders.