Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: coolingLiquidity: ALarge Trader Flow: ActiveMature market (271d)
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$45K
Liquidity$610K
Current Probability1%
Resolves in31mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
944 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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AI Brief
Rand Paul's 1% odds for the 2028 Republican nomination reflect the market's assessment that libertarian-leaning Republicans and non-mainstream GOP voices face steep headwinds in a primary election. His anti-interventionist foreign policy diverges from current Republican orthodoxy.