Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: coolingLiquidity: AInformed flowMature market (271d)
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Liquidity shift: Liquidity outflow 1% — now $1.4M
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$44K
Liquidity$1.4M
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in31mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
944 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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AI Brief
Steve Bannon's 1% nomination probability reflects the market's assessment that his conviction record, controversial persona, and lack of electoral experience make a 2028 presidential run essentially impossible despite his influence in Trump circles. Any campaign would face immediate credibility and legal challenges.
Anomalies
WarningLiqz=2.7