Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: risingLiquidity: ALarge Trader Flow: ActiveMature market (271d)
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$39K
Liquidity$592K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in31mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
944 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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AI Brief
Marjorie Taylor Greene faces extreme long odds at 1% for the 2028 GOP nomination, reflecting her controversial status within Republican establishment circles despite a loyal base. A path would require radical party realignment away from traditional conservative gatekeepers, with no near-term catalyst to shift current trajectory before the 2026 midterms.