Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: coolingLiquidity: AInformed flowPrice forming
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$67K
Liquidity$398K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in31mo
Low VolatilityVol: 5.7% → 3.2%
944 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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AI Brief
Joe Kent, a former Washington congressional candidate, is priced at 1% by traders who view him as an extreme long shot in the 2028 Republican primary despite his alignment with Trump's populist wing. His lack of electoral success and limited party infrastructure make a nomination run highly unlikely.