Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans YES at 88%. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$13.64 (+14%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability88.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActiveMature market (270d)
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$41K
Liquidity$267K
Current Probability88%
Resolves in6mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.5% → 1.1%
209 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
AI Brief
Democrats hold strong 87% odds to control the House after the 2026 midterms, reflecting favorable historical conditions and current polling patterns. The November 3, 2026 elections will be the definitive catalyst; Republican momentum could narrow these odds if sustained through fall.