Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: steadyLiquidity: BInformed flowMature market (202d)
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: steady
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$93K
Liquidity$238K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in5mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
179 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets13
AI Brief
Tarcisio de Freitas's 0% odds for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election indicate the market has ruled out the São Paulo governor as non-viable for October's contest. The -0.1% movement suggests stable consensus that other candidates have secured the viable candidacy positions.