Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: risingLiquidity: BInformed flowMature market (202d)
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$97K
Liquidity$176K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in5mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
179 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets13
AI Brief
Michelle Bolsonaro's candidacy is priced at absolute zero, indicating she's likely disqualified or legally barred from running in Brazil's October election. The market has entirely written her out regardless of any political developments.