Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (93% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1328.57 (+1329%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability7.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.1%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: BInformed flowMature market (202d)
- Price moved -0.1pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$27K
Liquidity$117K
Current Probability7%
Resolves in5mo
Low VolatilityVol: 1.5% → 1.5%
179 days until resolution. Price movements are small and steady.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets10
AI Brief
Renan Santos holds a 7% chance at the 2026 Brazilian presidency, positioning him as a fringe long-shot in a field likely dominated by more mainstream establishment figures. The market views him as a candidate with some organization but minimal realistic path to victory in the October election.