Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (98% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$4900.00 (+4900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability2.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +0.4%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Price moved +0.4pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$26K
Liquidity$65K
Current Probability2%
Resolves in5mo
Low VolatilityVol: 7.0% → 3.7%
179 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets13
AI Brief
Romeu Zema, a regional Brazilian political figure, is given only 2% odds for the October 2026 presidential election, indicating minimal market belief in his candidacy. The stable price reflects little recent trading interest. Brazil's presidential race remains far away with no immediate catalysts affecting his odds.