Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (98% NO).
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$4900.00 (+4900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability2.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +0.4%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: BMixed flowPrice forming
- Price moved +0.4pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$38K
Liquidity$28K
Current Probability2%
Resolves in5mo
Low VolatilityVol: 18.0% → 8.1%
179 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets13
AI Brief
Camilo Santana, former Ceará governor, is at just 2% odds for 2026 Brazilian presidency; Lula's government and more prominent candidates dominate polling, leaving Santana as a marginal regional figure without national momentum.