Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: risingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$52K
Liquidity$126K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in5mo
Low VolatilityVol: 7.2% → 3.8%
179 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets13
AI Brief
Geraldo Alckmin, Brazil's current VP, is given only 1% despite his sitting position in the October election. The market shows strong conviction against his viability despite his government role.