Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$42K
Liquidity$123K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in5mo
Low VolatilityVol: 15.1% → 6.9%
179 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets13
AI Brief
Aldo Rebelo trades at 0% for the 2026 Brazilian presidency, priced as a technical impossibility given his fringe candidacy status in a crowded field. October 2026 remains the resolution date but market sees no realistic path for this candidate. The zero probability suggests this may be a purely liquidity or position vehicle rather than a serious forecasting market.