About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (95% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1900.00 (+1900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability5.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +1.4%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price moved +1.4pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$1K
Liquidity$21K
Current Probability5%
Resolves in2mo
Low VolatilityVol: 9.8% → 4.8%
83 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets2
AI Brief
OpenAI IPO at $750B-$1T range is priced as unlikely (4% yes), despite June 30 deadline just 2.5 months away. Market may be skeptical of OpenAI IPO happening by that date, or expects valuation far above or below this specific band. Nearest catalyst: OpenAI announcement on IPO readiness or any regulatory clarity on AI company public listings.