
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
SportsActiveQuality C
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (93% NO).
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1328.57 (+1329%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability7.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: limited dataLiquidity: CMixed flowPrice stable for 30 days
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: limited data
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$427K
Liquidity$28K
Current Probability7%
Resolves in6mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
206 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert