US recession by end of 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 71% NO. Momentum is falling.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$233.33 (+233%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability30.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -4.5%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: BMixed flowPrice forming
- Price dropped -4.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: cooling
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$10K
Liquidity$65K
Current Probability30%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 6.5% → 3.5%
266 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert