Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 85% NO. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$525.00 (+525%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability16.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -1.0%Volume trend: steadyLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice stable for 190 days
- Price moved -1.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: steady
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$5K
Liquidity$91K
Current Probability16%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 2.2% → 1.8%
267 days until resolution. Price movements are small and steady.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets12
AI Brief
A 17% probability on two Fed rate cuts by year-end reflects high conviction that inflation remains sticky or above the Fed's 2% target. The recent +1% price move suggests traders are slightly more optimistic on cuts, but consensus remains hawkish—the Fed likely stays on hold or cuts once at most in 2026.