Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: risingLiquidity: CLarge Trader Flow: ActiveMature market (180d)
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$21K
Liquidity$44K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in6mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
209 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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AI Brief
Kyle Langford is near-certain to lose California's 2026 gubernatorial race at 1% odds, with minimal liquidity ($35k) and declining price (-0.4%) indicating this is a settled market with little remaining interest. The November 2026 deadline gives traders only 7 months to revise, but current consensus is so overwhelming that positions have largely exited.