Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActiveMature market (183d)
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$23K
Liquidity$47K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in6mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
207 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert