Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (96% NO). Momentum is strong down. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$2400.00 (+2400%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability4.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong down24h Price Change: -35.1%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price dropped -35.1pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong down
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$33K
Liquidity$39K
Current Probability4%
Resolves in6mo
Low VolatilityVol: 10.5% → 5.1%
206 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert