Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 32% YES. Momentum is rising. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$212.50 (+213%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability32.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Rising24h Price Change: +7.0%Volume trend: steadyLiquidity: ALarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price jumped +7.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Rising
- Volume trend: steady
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$798K
Liquidity$416K
Current Probability32%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 9.8% → 4.8%
266 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert