Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (93% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1150.00 (+1150%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability8.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +1.0%Volume trend: steadyLiquidity: CInformed flowMature market (153d)
- Price moved +1.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: steady
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$3K
Liquidity$38K
Current Probability8%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
268 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets1
AI Brief
Metamask's day-one $2B FDV is priced at just 8% odds, reflecting the structural difficulty of launching even ecosystem-leading projects at such lofty valuations. The flat $43K daily volume across all Metamask thresholds suggests trader interest is spread thin. Actual launch timing and initial exchange allocation will determine if early FOMO can sustain multi-billion pricing.