About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Slight YES lean at 65%. Momentum is falling. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$53.85 (+54%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability65.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -3.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowMature market (147d)
- Price dropped -3.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: rising
- Liquidity shift: Liquidity outflow 3% — now $69K
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$11K
Liquidity$68K
Current Probability65%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 1.7% → 1.6%
268 days until resolution. Price movements are small and steady.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets7
Anomalies
CriticalLiqz=4.9