About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Slight YES lean at 63%. Momentum is falling. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$58.73 (+59%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability63.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -4.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice stable for 147 days
- Price dropped -4.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved down to 62.6% from 67.0% baseline — 6% shift
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$11K
Liquidity$70K
Current Probability63%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 2.6% → 1.9%
267 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets7
Anomalies
WarningPricez=3.4