About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 35% YES.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$185.71 (+186%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability35.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +2.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CMixed flowPrice forming
- Price jumped +2.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$2K
Liquidity$9K
Current Probability35%
Resolves in2mo
Low VolatilityVol: 5.2% → 3.0%
83 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert