Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: risingLiquidity: BInformed flowMature market (146d)
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$22K
Liquidity$88K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in12mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
387 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets16
AI Brief
Marine Tondelier holds 1% for the 2027 French presidency despite leading the Green Party, with markets viewing her as having minimal electability in a mainstream election. The April 2027 ballot is one year away, leaving room for political realignment but current consensus is decidedly against her.