
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO).
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: coolingLiquidity: BMixed flowMature market (146d)
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$18K
Liquidity$145K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in12mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
387 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets14
AI Brief
Fabien Roussel's 1% French presidential odds are statistically identical to Bayrou's, reflecting standard market pricing for Communist Party candidates in 2027 elections. The $138k liquidity suggests this functions more as a liquidity parking vehicle than a genuine probability estimate.