Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO).
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: coolingLiquidity: BMixed flowMature market (146d)
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$19K
Liquidity$142K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in12mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
387 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets14
AI Brief
Ségolène Royal's 2027 French presidential bid is essentially priced out at 1% odds, with stable liquidity suggesting minimal conviction either direction beyond the baseline dismissal. The April 2027 resolution is distant enough that 13 months of campaign evolution could shift odds, but current framing treats her as a non-viable candidate.