Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: coolingLiquidity: BInformed flowMature market (146d)
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$35K
Liquidity$161K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in12mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
387 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets14
AI Brief
François Bayrou's 1% odds for the 2027 French presidency reflect his status as a fringe candidate in the race, with the long June 2027 timeline providing ample uncertainty. Extremely deep liquidity ($161k) on a 1% trade suggests strong conviction shorting and possible hedging by French political positions, not bottom-fishing.