Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: coolingLiquidity: BInformed flowMature market (146d)
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$31K
Liquidity$130K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in12mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
387 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets15
AI Brief
Élisabeth Borne, a former French PM, carries 1% odds for the 2027 presidential election, treating her candidacy as almost certain to fail despite her high-profile background. The minimal probability reflects a crowded French field with other stronger frontrunners.