Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (97% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$2400.00 (+2400%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability4.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: risingLiquidity: CLarge Trader Flow: ActiveMature market (140d)
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$137
Liquidity$8K
Current Probability4%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.8% → 1.2%
267 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets3
AI Brief
Traders price near-zero odds (4% YES) that the Fed will raise its upper bound to 5.0% or higher by end-2026, reflecting consensus that aggressive tightening is unlikely. The driving factor is current economic conditions and Fed guidance suggesting stable or lower rates ahead; major inflation would be the key catalyst to shift expectations. Minimal volume ($137) indicates this is a tail-risk position with little active trading.