Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (93% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1150.00 (+1150%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability8.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -1.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CLarge Trader Flow: ActiveMature market (140d)
- Price moved -1.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$941
Liquidity$13K
Current Probability8%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
267 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets3
AI Brief
The Fed's 92% probability against 1.75% reflects market belief in a shallow easing cycle absent a major recession. Cutting 150bp+ by year-end would signal financial crisis; current economic resilience argues against such steep cuts. Watch recession indicators and Q2-Q3 jobs data closely.