About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (91% NO).
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1011.11 (+1011%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability9.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +0.5%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: CMixed flowPrice forming
- Price moved +0.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$2K
Liquidity$61K
Current Probability9%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 3.1% → 2.1%
268 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets21
AI Brief
An 8-month path to $150,000 requires a sustained 100%+ bull run, yet only 9% of traders believe Bitcoin will achieve this target by year-end 2026, suggesting the market prices sub-50% odds of a major macro catalyst sustaining such gains.