About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 90% NO. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$809.09 (+809%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability11.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +0.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Price moved +0.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$5K
Liquidity$55K
Current Probability11%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 3.9% → 2.5%
268 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets21
AI Brief
Bitcoin reaching $140,000 by year-end holds just 10% conviction, pricing this as an ambitious bull scenario requiring sustained institutional demand and favorable macro conditions. While a 2.25x move is possible within nine months, the 89% NO majority suggests traders expect more moderate upside.