About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 89% NO. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$733.33 (+733%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability12.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +0.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActiveInflowPrice stable for 134 days
- Price moved +0.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$90K
Liquidity$56K
Current Probability12%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 2.5% → 1.9%
268 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets21
AI Brief
Bitcoin reaching $130,000 by year-end 2026 is priced at only 11% odds, reflecting the extreme 92% upside needed from current levels and skepticism about such aggressive gains within nine months. The market sees this as a tail-risk bull case that would require sustained momentum well beyond historical precedent.