About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans YES at 78%. Momentum is rising.
Yes
78¢
No
22¢
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$28.21 (+28%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability78.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Rising24h Price Change: +3.5%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: BMixed flowMature market (132d)
- Price jumped +3.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Rising
- Volume trend: cooling
- Price move: Price moved up to 76.8% from 74.7% baseline — 3% shift
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$8K
Liquidity$129K
Current Probability78%
Resolves in9mo
Low VolatilityVol: 1.1% → 1.4%
271 days until resolution. Price movements are small and steady.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets19
AI Brief
Bitcoin touching $55,000 by year-end 2026 carries 75% conviction, reflecting broad market belief in a meaningful correction or consolidation phase over the next 9 months from current levels. This is the most consensus bearish directional view in the cohort.
Anomalies
WarningPricez=3.5