
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 81% NO. Momentum is rising. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$400.00 (+400%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability20.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Rising24h Price Change: +2.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Price jumped +2.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Rising
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$4K
Liquidity$54K
Current Probability20%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 10.8% → 5.2%
268 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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AI Brief
Ethereum dipping to $800 by year-end is highly unlikely at 16% odds, with 85% of traders dismissing a 50%+ collapse over nine months. The strong liquidity on this far OTM bear hedge reflects its popularity as crash insurance.