About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects YES (94%). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$6.38 (+6%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability94.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -1.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowMature market (123d)
- Price moved -1.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$873
Liquidity$22K
Current Probability94%
Resolves in21mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
632 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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AI Brief
96% confidence that SpaceX opens above $1T market cap on IPO day, backed by the deepest liquidity pool ($22,434), indicating this is the most heavily traded and settled conviction. The steady 0.5% gain suggests consistent demand for this bullish outcome.