About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 31% YES. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$222.58 (+223%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability31.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.4%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BInformed flowMature market (120d)
- Price moved -0.4pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$22K
Liquidity$166K
Current Probability31%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.2% → 1.0%
242 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert