Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (92% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1011.11 (+1011%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability9.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: coolingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$28K
Liquidity$99K
Current Probability9%
Resolves in2mo
Low VolatilityVol: 3.4% → 2.3%
70 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets4
AI Brief
The June 2026 rate cut market shows 9% probability with a +2% move in the past 24 hours, signaling emerging expectations for potential easing if economic data softens between April and June. This slight dovish tilt may reflect growing recession concerns or sticky-inflation fears among traders positioning for policy reversal by mid-year.