Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans YES at 89%. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$12.36 (+12%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability89.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -1.0%Volume trend: steadyLiquidity: BInformed flowMature market (118d)
- Price moved -1.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: steady
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$23K
Liquidity$199K
Current Probability89%
Resolves in2mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.6% → 1.1%
70 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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AI Brief
The June no-change market trades at 89% with a -2% decline in 24h volume, indicating probability is slowly shifting from status quo toward other outcomes as traders embed modest easing expectations. The 89% reading combined with falling momentum suggests incremental repricing toward the 9% June cut possibility.