Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
Market leans NO at 89% NO.
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
- Price moved +1.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Mixed capital flow
The market asks whether the Federal Reserve will cut rates at the June 2026 FOMC meeting (June 17), with traders strongly pricing in no cut at 89% probability. Market expectations reflect concerns about persistent inflation or solid economic growth keeping the Fed on hold through mid-year. Key catalysts ahead include April-May employment reports, CPI releases, and any Fed guidance shifts, with the recent +1.5% price move suggesting modest growing conviction that a cut remains possible if economic data deteriorates.