Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (92% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1150.00 (+1150%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability8.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +0.1%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: AInformed flowMature market (106d)
- Price moved +0.1pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$11K
Liquidity$422K
Current Probability8%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.8% → 1.2%
267 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
AI Brief
Trump's publicly stated interest in Greenland acquisition elevates this from zero to 8% YES, though Denmark's sovereignty and lack of negotiation remain formidable barriers. A catalyst would require Trump-Denmark diplomatic engagement or some geopolitical crisis before year-end 2026.